Live prediction market odds for How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2027-01-07
Below 38% leads the “How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027” event at 71.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Below 37% (49.0%), Below 36% (37.0%), Below 35% (24.0%), and Below 33% (19.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Below 38% leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Below 37% at 49%, Below 36% at 37%, Below 35% at 24%.
Below 38% currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Below 38%, Below 37% at 49% and Below 36% at 37% and Below 35% at 24% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Below 38%: 71¢ on Kalshi. Below 37%: 49¢ on Kalshi. Below 36%: 37¢ on Kalshi. Below 35%: 24¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Below 38% will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Below 38%
71.0% avg
