Live prediction market odds for How low will XRP get in March?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how low XRP will drop in March 2026. Market sentiment is influenced by regulatory developments, market trends, and investor sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies.
↓ 1.20 leads the “How low will XRP get in March” event at 14.3% implied probability. Other contenders include ↓ 1.00 (3.4%), ↓ 0.80 (3.0%), and ↓ 0.60 (0.7%). A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include regulatory news, market trends, and overall investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Changes in technology or partnerships can also impact XRP's valuation.
Odds are based on the collective insights and expectations of market participants. Traders analyze various data points and news to gauge potential price movements.
XRP's price can reflect broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, influencing investor confidence. Its performance may also impact the regulatory landscape for digital assets.
How low will XRP get in March is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). ↓ 1.20 leads at 14% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include ↓ 1.00 at 3%, ↓ 0.80 at 3%, ↓ 0.60 at 1%.
↓ 1.20 currently leads at 14% implied probability. Behind ↓ 1.20, ↓ 1.00 at 3% and ↓ 0.80 at 3% and ↓ 0.60 at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
↓ 1.20
14.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Mar 31, 2026 is ever below $1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
PolymarketThis market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
