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Live prediction market odds for How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

6 Wins: How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?

Resolved 2026-04-30

This market resolved on 2026-04-30. 6 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking how many bills President Trump will sign in April 2026. This event is crucial as it reflects the administration's legislative priorities and the political climate leading up to the midterm elections.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
6WINNER
98%97%
4
1%9%
7+
2%0%
5
0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the number of bills President Trump might sign?

Factors include the political landscape, party control in Congress, and ongoing negotiations with lawmakers. Legislative priorities and public opinion can also play significant roles.

How does this event relate to the 2026 midterm elections?

The number of bills signed can impact voter sentiment and party momentum heading into the elections. Successful legislation may bolster support for the incumbent party.

What types of bills are likely to be considered for signing?

Bills related to key issues such as healthcare, infrastructure, and economic policy are often prioritized. The administration's agenda and current events will heavily influence the types of legislation presented.

What was "How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?" and why did it matter?

How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). 6 led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include 4 at 5%, 7+ at 1%, 5 at 0%.

What moved the odds on "How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?"?

6 held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind 6, 4 at 5% and 7+ at 1% and 5 at 0% were the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
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Stats
Spread8.0%
Platforms2
Candidates4
Winner

6

97.7% avg

Market Rulebook: How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the President signs exactly 4 bills into law in Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Joint resolutions are included.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
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1%
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