Live prediction market odds for How many bills will President Trump sign in Mar 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking how many bills President Trump will sign in March 2026. This event is pivotal as it reflects the legislative priorities and political dynamics of the administration during that period.
0 leads the “How many bills will President Trump sign in Mar 2026” event at 31.3% implied probability. Other contenders include 1 (19.8%), 4 (8.5%), 7 (6.0%), and 2 (8.3%). A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include the political climate, party control of Congress, and pressing national issues. Legislative negotiations and public opinion may also play significant roles.
Odds are based on real-time betting activity and market sentiment regarding the likelihood of various outcomes. Traders analyze political trends and historical data to inform their bets.
The number of bills signed can indicate a president's effectiveness in advancing their agenda. It also reflects the level of bipartisan cooperation or opposition encountered in Congress.
How many bills will President Trump sign in Mar 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). 0 leads at 31% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include 1 at 20%, 4 at 9%, 7 at 6%.
0 currently leads at 31% implied probability. Behind 0, 1 at 20% and 4 at 9% and 7 at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
0
31.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the President signs exactly 0 bills into law in Mar 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
