Live prediction market odds for How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-29
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the number of dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting in 2026. This event is crucial as it reflects differing opinions among Federal Reserve members, which can influence monetary policy and market reactions.
1 leads the “How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting” event at 16.3% implied probability, followed by 3 at 8.8%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Dissenting votes can be influenced by economic data, inflation expectations, and differing views on monetary policy. Members may have varying assessments of the economy's health, leading to disagreements on interest rate decisions.
Dissenting votes can signal uncertainty or division within the Federal Reserve, impacting investor confidence. Markets often react to these signals, adjusting expectations for future monetary policy actions.
The July meeting is significant as it occurs mid-year, often aligning with economic assessments and forecasts. Decisions made during this meeting can set the tone for the remainder of the year regarding interest rates and economic outlook.
How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). 1 leads at 16% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include 3 at 9%.
1 currently leads at 16% implied probability. Behind 1, 3 at 9% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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1
16.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf there are exactly 3 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
