Live prediction market odds for How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2027-02-01
Below 193 leads the “How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms” event at 19.0% implied probability. Other contenders include 203-207 (14.0%), 198-202 (13.0%), 193-197 (11.0%), and 208-212 (9.8%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Below 193 leads at 19% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include 203-207 at 14%, 198-202 at 13%, 193-197 at 11%.
Below 193 currently leads at 19% implied probability. Behind Below 193, 203-207 at 14% and 198-202 at 13% and 193-197 at 11% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Below 193: 19¢ on Kalshi. 203-207: 14¢ on Kalshi. 198-202: 13¢ on Kalshi. 193-197: 11¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 19¢ means the market estimates a 19% probability that Below 193 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 19¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 426% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Below 193
19.0% avg
