Live prediction market odds for How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2029-01-20
Kalshi is tracking the number of Supreme Court justices the President will confirm by January 2029. This event holds weight as it can influence the judicial landscape and impact key legal decisions for years to come.
1 leads the “How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm” event at 34.0% implied probability. Other contenders include 2 (32.5%), 0 (28.0%), 3 (8.9%), and 4 (1.7%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Factors include the President's political capital, Senate composition, and public opinion. Additionally, the timing of vacancies and potential retirements can play a crucial role.
Supreme Court nominees are proposed by the President and must be confirmed by the Senate. This involves hearings, committee votes, and a final Senate vote.
The number of justices confirmed can shape the ideological balance of the Court. This, in turn, affects landmark rulings on issues such as civil rights, healthcare, and environmental regulations.
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). 1 leads at 34% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include 2 at 33%, 0 at 28%, 3 at 9%.
1 currently leads at 34% implied probability. Behind 1, 2 at 33% and 0 at 28% and 3 at 9% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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1
34.0% avg
