Live prediction market odds for IA-01 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Christina Bohannan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the IA-01 Democratic nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence party dynamics and strategies in the broader electoral landscape.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Christina BohannanWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Travis Terrell | 5% | 0% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors that shape the odds. Changes in public opinion and party support can also impact market predictions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the outcome. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about who will secure the nomination.
Winning the IA-01 nomination can provide a candidate with significant momentum heading into the general election. It also serves as an indicator of the party's direction and voter priorities.
IA-01 Democratic nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Christina Bohannan led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Travis Terrell at 3%.
Christina Bohannan held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Christina Bohannan, Travis Terrell at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Christina Bohannan
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Travis Terrell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 IA-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
