About This Market
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the IA-02 Republican nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest will influence party dynamics and candidate positioning in a critical swing district, impacting broader electoral strategies.
Joe Mitchell leads the “IA-02 Republican nominee” event at 95.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Charlie McClintock (2.9%), and Shannon Lundgren (1.7%). A 2.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

