Live prediction market odds for Idaho Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Idaho Governor Election Winner set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could shift the balance of power in state governance and influence local policy directions.
Democrat is priced at 51.2% implied probability for the “Idaho Governor Election Winner” event. A 91.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, party affiliation, and recent polling data. Additionally, local issues and voter turnout can significantly impact the election outcome.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Results are typically announced on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take days or weeks to be confirmed, depending on the counting process and any potential challenges.
Idaho Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democrat leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democrat currently leads at 51% implied probability. The 91.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democrat
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Idaho pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
51.2% avg
