Live prediction market odds for Idaho Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Idaho Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the state.
Republican leads the “Idaho Senate winner” event at 92.0% implied probability, followed by Democrat at 5.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The Idaho Senate election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
Factors influencing the odds include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and prevailing political issues in Idaho. Polling data and voter turnout predictions also play a significant role.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Idaho Senate winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democrat at 6%.
Republican currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democrat at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican
92.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
