Live prediction market odds for Idaho Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Idaho Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race will be pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate, with various factors such as candidate popularity and party dynamics playing a crucial role in shaping the odds.
Democrat is priced at 5.5% implied probability for the “Idaho Senate winner” event. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate recognition, fundraising capabilities, and polling results. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter sentiment.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their beliefs about the outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on new information and market sentiment.
The Idaho Senate election is set for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state positions.
Idaho Senate winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democrat leads at 6% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democrat currently leads at 6% implied probability. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democrat
5.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
