Live prediction market odds for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-06-21
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Vitality leads the “IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner” event at 46.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Team Spirit (23.8%), Natus Vincere (8.4%), Falcons (3.3%), and FURIA (4.6%). A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). Vitality leads at 46% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Team Spirit at 22%, Natus Vincere at 8%, Falcons at 7%.
Vitality currently leads at 46% implied probability. Behind Vitality, Team Spirit at 22% and Natus Vincere at 8% and Falcons at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: Vitality: 50¢ on Polymarket. Team Spirit: 22¢ on Polymarket. Natus Vincere: 8¢ on Polymarket. Falcons: 7¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 46¢ means the market estimates a 46% probability that Vitality will be the outcome. Buying one share at 46¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 117% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Vitality
46.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.'}
