Live prediction market odds for Iowa Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Rob Sand was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Iowa Democratic Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. This nomination is crucial as it will determine the party's candidate in a key battleground state, influencing the overall electoral landscape.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Rob SandWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Paul Dahl | 1% | 50% |
Julie Stauch | 1% | 100% |
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements from influential party members. Polling data and public sentiment also play significant roles in shaping market expectations.
The nomination is set for June 2, 2026, aligning with the state's primary election schedule. This timing is critical for candidates to secure their positions ahead of the general election.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their expectations of candidate success. As new information emerges, such as debates or campaign events, the odds can fluctuate significantly.
Iowa Democratic Governor nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rob Sand led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Paul Dahl at 25%, Julie Stauch at 50%.
Rob Sand held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Rob Sand, Paul Dahl at 25% and Julie Stauch at 50% were the next closest contenders. The 99.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Rob Sand
99.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Paul Dahl wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Iowa Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
