Live prediction market odds for Iowa Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Ashley Hinson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Iowa Republican Senate nominee is being tracked on Kalshi and PredictIt. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment ahead of the 2026 elections.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ashley HinsonWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Jim Carlin | 2% | 1% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts are key factors that shape the market. Additionally, public debates and voter sentiment can significantly impact the odds.
The outcome of this race could alter the Republican Party's strategy and influence Senate control. A strong nominee may energize the party base and affect turnout in the general election.
The primary election is scheduled for June 2, 2026. This date is critical as it sets the stage for the general election later that year.
Iowa Republican Senate nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Ashley Hinson led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jim Carlin at 1%.
Ashley Hinson held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ashley Hinson, Jim Carlin at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Ashley Hinson
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Jim Carlin wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Iowa Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
