Live prediction market odds for Japan vs Sweden. Compare prices across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
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Kalshi / Predict.fun
2026-06-25
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Japan and Sweden scheduled for June 25, 2026. This game is pivotal as it could impact both teams' standings in the tournament, influencing their chances of advancing further in the competition.
Tie leads the “Japan vs Sweden” event at 26.0% implied probability, followed by Sweden at 18.5%. A 17.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Japan aims to secure a victory to improve their chances of advancing in the tournament. A win could also boost team morale and confidence.
Sweden needs a strong performance to maintain their position in the tournament standings. A loss could jeopardize their chances of progressing to the knockout stage.
Odds are influenced by team form, player injuries, and historical performance in international tournaments. Additionally, fan support and weather conditions on match day can also play a role.
Japan vs Sweden is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Predict.fun). Tie leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sweden at 27%.
Tie currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Tie, Sweden at 27% are the next closest contenders. The 17.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Sweden wins the Japan vs Sweden professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Japan vs Sweden professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
OpinionResolves Yes if Sweden wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
Polymarket
Predict.fun{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}
Tie
26.0% avg
