Live prediction market odds for Jordan vs Argentina: Goalscorer. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-06-28
Julian Alvarez: 1+ leads the “Jordan vs Argentina: Goalscorer” event at 48.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Lionel Messi: 1+ (37.0%), Lautaro Martinez: 1+ (35.5%), Julian Alvarez: 2+ (15.0%), and Lautaro Martinez: 2+ (15.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Jordan vs Argentina: Goalscorer is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Julian Alvarez: 1+ leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lionel Messi: 1+ at 37%, Lautaro Martinez: 1+ at 36%, Julian Alvarez: 2+ at 15%.
Julian Alvarez: 1+ currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Julian Alvarez: 1+, Lionel Messi: 1+ at 37% and Lautaro Martinez: 1+ at 36% and Julian Alvarez: 2+ at 15% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Julian Alvarez: 1+: 48¢ on Kalshi. Lionel Messi: 1+: 37¢ on Kalshi. Lautaro Martinez: 1+: 36¢ on Kalshi. Julian Alvarez: 2+: 15¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Julian Alvarez: 1+ will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Julian Alvarez: 1+
48.0% avg
