Live prediction market odds for Karmine Corp vs. Natus Vincere. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-30
This market resolved on 2026-04-30. Natus Vincere was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the matchup between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere held on April 30, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could influence team standings and fan engagement in the competitive esports arena.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Natus VincereWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Karmine Corp | 1% | 43% |
This matchup is crucial for both teams as they vie for better rankings in the esports league. Performance in such high-stakes games can impact future tournament placements and sponsorship opportunities.
Prediction markets analyze various factors, including past performance, player statistics, and fan sentiment. These elements contribute to the shifting odds as the event date approaches.
Injuries, roster changes, and recent game outcomes can significantly sway the odds. Additionally, fan engagement and betting activity can also impact market perceptions leading up to the match.
Karmine Corp vs. Natus Vincere was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Natus Vincere led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Karmine Corp at 22%.
Natus Vincere held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Natus Vincere wins the VCT EMEA 2026: Karmine Corp vs. Natus Vincere Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
OpinionIn the upcoming LEC best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC: if Karmine Corp wins the series, the market will resolve to "Karmine Corp"; if Natus Vincere wins the series, the market will resolve to "Natus Vincere". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series is completed. If the series is cancelled entirely with no make-up match, or decided by forfeit before any game is played, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LEC broadcast and lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
PolymarketNatus Vincere
78.3% avg
