About This Market
ShareKalshi is tracking the potential departure of Keir Starmer from his leadership position. Factors such as party performance, public opinion, and upcoming elections could influence his tenure and the political landscape in the UK.
Before Sep 1, 2026 leads the “Keir Starmer Out” event at 65.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Before Aug 1, 2026 (56.0%), Before Jul 1, 2026 (30.0%), and Before Jun 1, 2026 (4.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
