Live prediction market odds for Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-05-19
This market resolved on 2026-05-19. Andy Barr was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Kentucky Republican Senate nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies as candidates vie for a critical Senate seat in a pivotal election year.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Andy BarrWINNER | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Daniel Cameron | 0% | 50% | 1% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and national political trends can impact the predictions.
The Kentucky Senate race is critical as it could alter the balance of power in the Senate. A Republican nominee's success may bolster party control or influence legislative agendas.
The nominee will be decided in the primary elections scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is key for candidates as they ramp up their campaigns leading to the election.
Kentucky Republican Senate nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Andy Barr led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Daniel Cameron at 17%.
Andy Barr held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Andy Barr, Daniel Cameron at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 49.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Andy Barr wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Kentucky Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Andy Barr
99.6% avg
