Live prediction market odds for Alavés vs. Real Sociedad. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Alavés vs. Real Sociedad — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Real Sociedad leads the “Alavés vs. Real Sociedad” event at 54.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (37.8%), and Alavés (19.8%). A 22.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alavés vs. Real Sociedad is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Real Sociedad leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 38%, Alavés at 20%.
Real Sociedad currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Real Sociedad, Draw at 38% and Alavés at 20% are the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Real Sociedad: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 49¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Alavés: 20¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Real Sociedad will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Real Sociedad
54.0% avg
