Live prediction market odds for Atlético Madrid vs. Sevilla. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Atlético Madrid vs. Sevilla — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Draw leads the “Atlético Madrid vs. Sevilla” event at 33.3% implied probability, followed by Sevilla at 30.8%. A 13.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Atlético Madrid vs. Sevilla is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 33% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sevilla at 31%.
Draw currently leads at 33% implied probability. Behind Draw, Sevilla at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 13.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 40¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Sevilla: 33¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 13.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 33¢ means the market estimates a 33% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 33¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 203% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Draw
33.3% avg
