Live prediction market odds for Mallorca vs. Alavés. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Mallorca vs. Alavés — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alavés leads the “Mallorca vs. Alavés” event at 42.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (35.0%), and Mallorca (32.0%). A 15.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mallorca vs. Alavés is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alavés leads at 42% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 35%, Mallorca at 32%.
Alavés currently leads at 42% implied probability. Behind Alavés, Draw at 35% and Mallorca at 32% are the next closest contenders. The 15.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alavés: 40¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 40¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Mallorca: 40¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 15.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 42¢ means the market estimates a 42% probability that Alavés will be the outcome. Buying one share at 42¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 138% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mallorca wins the Alaves vs Mallorca professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Alaves vs Mallorca professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If RCD Mallorca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alavés
42.3% avg
