Live prediction market odds for Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mallorca leads the “Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca” event at 39.8% implied probability, followed by Tie at 33.8%. A 12.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mallorca leads at 40% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 34%.
Mallorca currently leads at 40% implied probability. Behind Mallorca, Tie at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 12.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mallorca: 43¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 40¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 12.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 40¢ means the market estimates a 40% probability that Mallorca will be the outcome. Buying one share at 40¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 150% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Mallorca
39.8% avg
