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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsWhalesArbTrending

Live prediction market odds for Villarreal vs. Girona. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Kalshi / Polymarket

Villarreal vs. Girona

2026-04-06

About This Market

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Villarreal vs. Girona — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Villarreal leads the “Villarreal vs. Girona” event at 21.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Girona (65.3%), and Draw (14.3%). A 67.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

2 platforms
V
VillarrealARB
21% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket42¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.0%42¢42¢59¢59¢
G
GironaARB
66% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket32¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
32.0%32¢32¢69¢69¢
D
DrawARB
14% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%28¢28¢73¢73¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Villarreal vs. Girona" and why does it matter?

Villarreal vs. Girona is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Villarreal leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Girona at 65%, Draw at 14%.

What is moving the odds on "Villarreal vs. Girona"?

Villarreal currently leads at 21% implied probability. Behind Villarreal, Girona at 65% and Draw at 14% are the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Villarreal vs. Girona" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Villarreal: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Girona: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Villarreal is at 21%?

A price of 21¢ means the market estimates a 21% probability that Villarreal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 21¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 376% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread67.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Villarreal

21.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Villarreal vs. Girona

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Villarreal wins the Girona vs Villarreal professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Girona vs Villarreal professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 6, 2026 If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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