Live prediction market odds for Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2028-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$1B leads the “Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ” event at 73.1% implied probability. Other contenders include $3B (58.5%), and $4B (38.3%). A 23.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $1B leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $3B at 70%, $4B at 49%.
$1B currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind $1B, $3B at 70% and $4B at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 23.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $1B: 62¢ on Polymarket. $3B: 70¢ on Polymarket. $4B: 49¢ on Polymarket. The 23.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that $1B will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
$1B
73.1% avg
