Live prediction market odds for Leeds United vs Manchester City. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Manchester City FC was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Manchester City FCWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Leeds United FC | 1% | 50% |
Leeds United vs Manchester City was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City FC led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Leeds United FC at 26%.
Manchester City FC held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Manchester City FC, Leeds United FC at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Manchester City FC: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Leeds United FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Manchester City FC would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Manchester City FC
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Leeds United wins the Leeds United vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Leeds United vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
