Live prediction market odds for América vs. León. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
América vs. León — Liga MX game scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
América leads the “América vs. León” event at 51.3% implied probability. Other contenders include León (25.8%), and Draw (24.3%). A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
América vs. León is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). América leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include León at 26%, Draw at 24%.
América currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind América, León at 26% and Draw at 24% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: América: 50¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. León: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 22¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that América will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Leon wins the Leon vs America professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Leon vs America professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 21, 2026 If Club León FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
América
51.3% avg
