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Live prediction market odds for Atlas vs. América. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Atlas Wins: Atlas vs. América

Resolved 2026-04-25

This market resolved on 2026-04-25. Atlas was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.

About This Market

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Atlas vs. América — Liga MX game held on 2026-04-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
AtlasWINNER
99%16%
América
1%62%
Draw
1%25%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Atlas vs. América" and why did it matter?

Atlas vs. América was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlas led the market at 58% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include América at 32%, Draw at 13%.

What moved the odds on "Atlas vs. América"?

Atlas held the lead at 58% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlas, América at 32% and Draw at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 83.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Atlas vs. América" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. América: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 83.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 58% odds for Atlas mean?

A price of 58¢ meant the market estimated a 58% chance that Atlas would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 58¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 72% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread83.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: Atlas vs. América

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Atlas wins the America vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the America vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Atlas FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Atlas

57.5% avg