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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 83.0% // +$8300.00

Live prediction market odds for Atlas vs. América. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Atlas vs. América

2026-04-25

About This Market

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Atlas vs. América — Liga MX game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

América leads the “Atlas vs. América” event at 31.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (13.0%), and Atlas (57.5%). A 83.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
A
AméricaARB
31% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
61.5%61¢62¢38¢39¢
D
DrawARB
13% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.5%24¢25¢75¢76¢
A
AtlasARB
58% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Atlas vs. América" and why does it matter?

Atlas vs. América is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). América leads at 32% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 13%, Atlas at 58%.

What is moving the odds on "Atlas vs. América"?

América currently leads at 32% implied probability. Behind América, Draw at 13% and Atlas at 58% are the next closest contenders. The 83.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Atlas vs. América" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: América: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Atlas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. The 83.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that América is at 32%?

A price of 32¢ means the market estimates a 32% probability that América will be the outcome. Buying one share at 32¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 213% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks

Market Rulebook: Atlas vs. América

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Atlas wins the America vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the America vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Atlas FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread83.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

América

31.5% avg

No price history available