Live prediction market odds for Puebla vs. Guadalajara. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-18
This market resolved on 2026-04-18. Guadalajara was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara — Liga MX game held on 2026-04-18. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
GuadalajaraWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Draw | 1% | 15% |
Puebla | 1% | 8% |
Puebla vs. Guadalajara was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Guadalajara led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw at 8%, Puebla at 5%.
Guadalajara held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Guadalajara, Draw at 8% and Puebla at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 20.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Guadalajara: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. Puebla: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 20.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Guadalajara would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Puebla vs. Guadalajara” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Puebla wins the Guadalajara vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Guadalajara vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Club Puebla wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Guadalajara
89.0% avg
