Live prediction market odds for Puebla vs. Guadalajara. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Puebla vs. Guadalajara — Liga MX game scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Guadalajara leads the “Puebla vs. Guadalajara” event at 75.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (17.0%), and Puebla (10.3%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Guadalajara leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 17%, Puebla at 10%.
Guadalajara currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Guadalajara, Draw at 17% and Puebla at 10% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Guadalajara: 75¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 17¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Puebla: 11¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Guadalajara will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Puebla wins the Guadalajara vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Guadalajara vs Puebla professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Club Puebla wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Guadalajara
75.0% avg
