Live prediction market odds for Tijuana vs. Guadalajara. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
Tijuana vs. Guadalajara — Liga MX game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Guadalajara leads the “Tijuana vs. Guadalajara” event at 35.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (59.0%), and Tijuana (7.0%). A 80.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tijuana vs. Guadalajara is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Guadalajara leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 59%, Tijuana at 7%.
Guadalajara currently leads at 36% implied probability. Behind Guadalajara, Draw at 59% and Tijuana at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 80.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Guadalajara: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 99¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Tijuana: 1¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket. The 80.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that Guadalajara will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tijuana de Caliente wins the Guadalajara vs Tijuana de Caliente professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Guadalajara vs Tijuana de Caliente professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Club Tijuana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Guadalajara
35.5% avg
