Live prediction market odds for Ligue 1 Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-30
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Ligue 1 Relegation event, set to conclude on May 30, 2026. The stakes are high as teams fight to avoid dropping to a lower division, impacting their finances and fan support.
Metz leads the “Ligue 1 Relegation” event at 98.9% implied probability. Other contenders include Paris FC (8.4%), Angers (5.5%), Le Havre (4.9%), and Brest (0.3%). A 15.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance, injuries, and remaining match schedules significantly impact the odds. Additionally, historical performance and financial stability of clubs play a role.
Relegation can lead to substantial financial losses due to decreased broadcasting revenue and sponsorships. It also affects player retention and recruitment strategies.
The Ligue 1 season usually concludes in late May. This timing is crucial for determining which teams face relegation.
Ligue 1 Relegation is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Metz leads at 99% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Paris FC at 8%, Paris FC at 8%, Angers at 5%.
Metz currently leads at 99% implied probability. Behind Metz, Paris FC at 8% and Paris FC at 8% and Angers at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 15.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Ligue 1 Relegation” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Metz is relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Metz
98.9% avg
