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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for Lille vs. Toulouse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Lille vs. Toulouse

2026-04-12

About This Market

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Lille vs. Toulouse — Ligue 1 game scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Toulouse leads the “Lille vs. Toulouse” event at 41.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Tie (40.8%), and Lille (35.0%). A 22.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
T
ToulouseARB
41% Avg
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
52.0%51¢53¢47¢49¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.0%29¢31¢69¢71¢
T
TieARB
40% Avg
Kalshi52¢
Polymarket30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
51.0%50¢52¢48¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
29.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
L
LilleARB
34% Avg
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
29.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
PolymarketPolymarket
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Lille vs. Toulouse" and why does it matter?

Lille vs. Toulouse is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toulouse leads at 42% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 41%, Lille at 35%.

What is moving the odds on "Lille vs. Toulouse"?

Toulouse currently leads at 42% implied probability. Behind Toulouse, Tie at 41% and Lille at 35% are the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Lille vs. Toulouse" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toulouse: 53¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 52¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Lille: 30¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Toulouse is at 42%?

A price of 42¢ means the market estimates a 42% probability that Toulouse will be the outcome. Buying one share at 42¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 138% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread22.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Volume$1
Leader

Toulouse

41.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?