Live prediction market odds for Marseille vs. Lorient. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Marseille vs. Lorient — Ligue 1 game scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marseille leads the “Marseille vs. Lorient” event at 47.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Tie (33.8%), and Lorient (32.8%). A 18.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marseille vs. Lorient is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marseille leads at 47% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 34%, Lorient at 33%.
Marseille currently leads at 47% implied probability. Behind Marseille, Tie at 34% and Lorient at 33% are the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marseille: 43¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 43¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Lorient: 42¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 47¢ means the market estimates a 47% probability that Marseille will be the outcome. Buying one share at 47¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 113% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Marseille
47.0% avg
