Live prediction market odds for Nice vs. Marseille. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-26
Nice vs. Marseille — Ligue 1 game scheduled for 2026-04-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marseille leads the “Nice vs. Marseille” event at 54.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (34.0%), and Nice (31.8%). A 29.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Nice vs. Marseille is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marseille leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 34%, Nice at 32%.
Marseille currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Marseille, Draw at 34% and Nice at 32% are the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marseille: 44¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 48¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Nice: 47¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Marseille will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nice wins the Marseille vs Nice professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marseille vs Nice professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If OGC Nice wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marseille
54.5% avg
