Live prediction market odds for Toulouse vs. Paris Saint-Germain. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-03
Toulouse vs. Paris Saint-Germain — Ligue 1 game scheduled for 2026-04-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
PSG leads the “Toulouse vs. Paris Saint-Germain” event at 78.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Tie (27.5%), and Toulouse (24.8%). A 34.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Toulouse vs. Paris Saint-Germain is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). PSG leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 28%, Toulouse at 25%.
PSG currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind PSG, Tie at 28% and Toulouse at 25% are the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: PSG: 79¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 41¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. Toulouse: 42¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that PSG will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
PSG
78.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Toulouse wins the PSG vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the PSG vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Toulouse FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
