Live prediction market odds for Louisville at North Carolina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-24
This market resolved on 2026-02-24. North Carolina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
North CarolinaWINNER | 99% | 37% |
North Carolina Tar Heels | 99% | 37% |
Louisville | 1% | 64% |
Louisville Cardinals | 1% |
Louisville at North Carolina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). North Carolina led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Carolina Tar Heels at 68%, Louisville at 32%, Louisville Cardinals at 32%.
North Carolina held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Carolina, North Carolina Tar Heels at 68% and Louisville at 32% and Louisville Cardinals at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: North Carolina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. North Carolina Tar Heels: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Louisville: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Louisville Cardinals: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that North Carolina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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North Carolina
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Louisville wins the Louisville at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Louisville at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
