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Live prediction market odds for Maine Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / PredictIt

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

2026-06-09

About This Market

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Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Maine Republican Governor nominee race ahead of the June 2026 primary. This event is crucial as it will determine the party's candidate in a state that can influence broader electoral dynamics in the region.

Robert Charles leads the “Maine Republican Governor nominee” event at 62.0% implied probability, followed by Jonathan Bush at 15.5%. A 36.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
RC
Robert CharlesARB
57% Avg
Kalshi46¢
PredictIt81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
44.0%42¢46¢54¢58¢
PredictItPredictIt
69.0%57¢81¢19¢43¢
JB
Jonathan Bush
22% Avg
Kalshi29¢
PredictIt31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
25.5%22¢29¢71¢78¢
PredictItPredictIt
19.0%7¢31¢69¢93¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Robert Charles

Robert Charles is a Republican candidate for Governor of Maine in the 2026 election. He served as Assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs under President George W. Bush from 2003 to 2005. His extensive experience in federal law enforcement and policy positions him as a key contender in Maine's gubernatorial race.

About Jonathan Bush

Jonathan Bush is a Republican candidate for Maine governor in the 2026 election. He co-founded athenahealth, a healthcare technology company, and served as its CEO until 2018. His campaign focuses on economic growth and government reform in Maine.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and party dynamics play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and campaign strategies will impact the likelihood of each candidate's success.

When is the primary for the Maine Republican Governor nominee?

The primary election is scheduled for June 9, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to secure their position for the general election.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment in this race?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective insights of participants, reflecting their expectations about candidate viability. As new information emerges, such as debates or policy announcements, the odds can fluctuate to mirror changing public sentiment.

What is "Maine Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Maine Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Robert Charles leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jonathan Bush at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Maine Republican Governor nominee?"?

Robert Charles currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Robert Charles, Jonathan Bush at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 36.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread36.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Robert Charles

62.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jonathan Bush wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maine Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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