About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. This election could influence Hungary's political direction and impact relations within the European Union, making the margin a key indicator of voter sentiment and party strength.
Tisza <9% leads the “Margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election” event at 26.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Tisza 12-15% (9.3%), Tisza 15-18% (8.3%), and Tisza 18%+ (7.8%). A 26.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
