About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. This election could influence Hungary's political direction and impact relations within the European Union, making the margin a key indicator of voter sentiment and party strength.
Tisza 12-15% is priced at 92.8% implied probability for the “Margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election” event. A 2.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
