Live prediction market odds for Marshall vs Winthrop. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-24
Marshall leads the “Marshall vs Winthrop” event at 38.8% implied probability, followed by Marshall Thundering Herd at 38.8%. A 75.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marshall vs Winthrop is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marshall leads at 39% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marshall Thundering Herd at 39%.
Marshall currently leads at 39% implied probability. Behind Marshall, Marshall Thundering Herd at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marshall: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Marshall Thundering Herd: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 39¢ means the market estimates a 39% probability that Marshall will be the outcome. Buying one share at 39¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 156% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Marshall wins the Marshall vs Winthrop College Baseball game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Marshall
38.8% avg
