Live prediction market odds for Maryland Governor winner?. Compare prices across Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-03
Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Maryland gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and could influence local policies and party dynamics in the region.
Republican is priced at 4.3% implied probability for the “Maryland Governor winner” event. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, local issues and voter turnout can significantly impact the election outcome.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The election is significant as it determines the state's executive leadership, which can impact legislation and governance. Changes in leadership may also affect party control and influence future elections.
Maryland Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, PredictIt). Republican leads at 4% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Republican currently leads at 4% implied probability. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Republican
4.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
