Live prediction market odds for Mayweather vs Pacquiao. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-09-20
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the highly anticipated boxing match between Mayweather and Pacquiao scheduled for September 20, 2026. This event matters as it features two of the sport's biggest names, drawing attention from fans and analysts alike, influencing betting dynamics and market sentiment.
Mayweather leads the “Mayweather vs Pacquiao” event at 62.0% implied probability, followed by Pacquiao at 38.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Odds are influenced by each fighter's recent performance, training camps, and public sentiment. Additionally, historical rivalry and fan engagement play a significant role in shaping market expectations.
As the match date approaches, betting activity typically increases due to heightened media coverage and fan anticipation. Key events such as press conferences and weigh-ins can also lead to shifts in market odds.
This match is a rematch of their 2015 bout, which was one of the highest-grossing fights in boxing history. Fans are eager to see how both fighters have evolved since their last encounter.
Mayweather vs Pacquiao is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mayweather leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pacquiao at 38%.
Mayweather currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Mayweather, Pacquiao at 38% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Mayweather
62.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Floyd Mayweather Jr. wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
