About This Market
ShareMwendwa Mbithi leads the “Mbithi vs Soto” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Matias Soto at 44.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Live prediction market odds for Mbithi vs Soto. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi
2026-06-30
Mwendwa Mbithi leads the “Mbithi vs Soto” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Matias Soto at 44.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Mbithi vs Soto is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Mwendwa Mbithi leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matias Soto at 44%.
Mwendwa Mbithi currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Mwendwa Mbithi, Matias Soto at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Mwendwa Mbithi: 55¢ on Kalshi. Matias Soto: 44¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Mwendwa Mbithi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Mwendwa Mbithi
55.0% avg