Live prediction market odds for ME-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / PredictIt
2026-06-09
Republican leads the “ME-02 House winner” event at 58.0% implied probability, followed by Democratic at 46.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
ME-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Republican leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic at 47%.
Republican currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democratic at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, PredictIt: Republican: 56¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on PredictIt. Democratic: 44¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on PredictIt. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Republican will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Republican
58.0% avg
