About This Market
Polymarket and Opinion are tracking the likelihood of a megaquake occurring by March 31st, 2026. This event is crucial as it impacts disaster preparedness, insurance markets, and public safety measures in earthquake-prone regions.
Megaquake by March 31st, 2026 is priced at 1.7% implied probability for the “Megaquake by March 31st, 2026” event. A 1.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

