Question 1

What factors influence the spread in this match?

Accepted Answer

Team performance, player injuries, and historical matchups can significantly affect the spread. Additionally, betting trends and public sentiment may also play a role in shaping the odds.

Question 2

How does the spread work in soccer matches?

Accepted Answer

In soccer, the spread represents the expected margin of victory for a team. Bettors wager on whether a team will win by more than the specified number of goals.

Question 3

Why is this match significant for both teams?

Accepted Answer

This match is crucial for both Mexico and the Republic of Korea as it impacts their progression in the tournament. A strong performance can boost morale and enhance their chances of advancing further.

Question 4

What is "Mexico vs Republic of Korea: Spread" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

Mexico vs Republic of Korea: Spread is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republic of Korea wins by more than 1.5 goals at 9%, Mexico wins by more than 2.5 goals at 8%, Republic of Korea wins by more than 2.5 goals at 3%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "Mexico vs Republic of Korea: Spread"?

Accepted Answer

Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals currently leads at 23% implied probability. Behind Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals, Republic of Korea wins by more than 1.5 goals at 9% and Mexico wins by more than 2.5 goals at 8% and Republic of Korea wins by more than 2.5 goals at 3% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "Mexico vs Republic of Korea: Spread" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals: 23¢ on Kalshi. Republic of Korea wins by more than 1.5 goals: 9¢ on Kalshi. Mexico wins by more than 2.5 goals: 8¢ on Kalshi. Republic of Korea wins by more than 2.5 goals: 3¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

Question 7

What does it mean that Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals is at 23%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 23¢ means the market estimates a 23% probability that Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals will be the outcome. Buying one share at 23¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 335% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Mexico vs Republic of Korea: Spread

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