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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 20.0% // +$2000.00

Live prediction market odds for Mexico vs USA. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

USA Wins: Mexico vs USA

Resolved 2026-03-12

This market resolved on 2026-03-12. USA was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the upcoming match between Mexico and the USA on March 12, 2026. This event is crucial as it can impact standings in international competitions and fan engagement in both countries.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
USAWINNER
99%79%
Mexico
1%21%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Mexico vs USA match?

This match is part of international competitions that can affect rankings and qualifications for future tournaments. Both teams have a strong rivalry, making the stakes even higher.

How do prediction markets reflect the outcome of the match?

Prediction markets aggregate opinions and data to provide real-time odds on the match's outcome. Factors such as team performance, injuries, and historical results influence these odds.

When and where will the match take place?

The match is scheduled for March 12, 2026. The specific venue has not been announced yet, but it will likely be a prominent stadium in one of the participating countries.

What was "Mexico vs USA" and why did it matter?

Mexico vs USA was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). USA led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mexico at 11%.

What moved the odds on "Mexico vs USA"?

USA held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind USA, Mexico at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox Sportsthe Governing League
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Stats
Spread20.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

USA

89.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Mexico vs USA

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If USA wins the Mexico vs USA professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Mexico vs USA professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox Sportsthe Governing League
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