Live prediction market odds for MI-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-04
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the MI-07 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party control in Congress and shape legislative priorities in the following term.
Democratic Party leads the “MI-07 House winner” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 19.3%. A 63.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors. Additionally, local issues and voter turnout can significantly impact the election outcome.
Odds can fluctuate frequently based on new information, such as debates, endorsements, and shifts in public opinion. Major events or scandals can also lead to rapid changes.
The MI-07 House race is crucial as it could determine the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A shift in control can affect legislative agendas and national policies.
MI-07 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic Party leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 19%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 19% are the next closest contenders. The 63.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Democratic Party
57.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MI-7 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
