Live prediction market odds for MI-10 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-08-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the MI-10 Republican nominee for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies in a crucial battleground district, impacting broader electoral trends.
Michael Bouchard leads the “MI-10 Republican nominee” event at 89.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Robert Lulgjuraj (6.0%), Steffan Demetropoulos (3.0%), and Justin Kirk (1.5%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors. Changes in voter sentiment and local issues also play a significant role.
The MI-10 district is considered a battleground, making it vital for both parties. Winning this seat could shift control in Congress and influence national policies.
The nomination process will culminate in the primary elections scheduled for August 2026. Candidates will ramp up their campaigns leading up to this date.
MI-10 Republican nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Michael Bouchard leads at 89% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Robert Lulgjuraj at 6%, Steffan Demetropoulos at 3%, Justin Kirk at 2%.
Michael Bouchard currently leads at 89% implied probability. Behind Michael Bouchard, Robert Lulgjuraj at 6% and Steffan Demetropoulos at 3% and Justin Kirk at 2% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Michael Bouchard
89.0% avg
