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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 72.5% // +$7250.00

Live prediction market odds for Miami (OH) at SMU. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Miami (OH) at SMU

2026-03-18

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the matchup between Miami (OH) and SMU on March 18, 2026. This game is pivotal for both teams as they vie for postseason positioning and fan engagement, impacting their respective programs' reputations and future recruitment efforts.

SMU Mustangs leads the “Miami (OH) at SMU” event at 37.3% implied probability, followed by Miami (OH) RedHawks at 62.8%. A 72.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
SM
SMU MustangsARB
37% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
74.0%74¢74¢27¢27¢
M(
Miami (OH) RedHawksARB
63% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%27¢27¢74¢74¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the implications of this game for Miami (OH)?

A win could enhance Miami (OH)'s chances for postseason play, impacting their overall season performance. Success in this game may also boost team morale and attract future recruits.

How does this matchup affect SMU's season?

For SMU, this game is critical for maintaining momentum in their season and improving their standings. A victory could solidify their position in the conference and increase fan support.

What factors influence the odds in this matchup?

Odds are influenced by team performance statistics, injuries, and historical matchups. Additionally, public sentiment and betting trends can shift as the game date approaches.

What is "Miami (OH) at SMU" and why does it matter?

Miami (OH) at SMU is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). SMU Mustangs leads at 37% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami (OH) RedHawks at 63%.

What is moving the odds on "Miami (OH) at SMU"?

SMU Mustangs currently leads at 37% implied probability. Behind SMU Mustangs, Miami (OH) RedHawks at 63% are the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread72.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

SMU Mustangs

Market Rulebook: Miami (OH) at SMU

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If SMU wins the Miami (OH) at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the Miami (OH) at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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37.3% avg

No price history available